Final · 8:00 p.m. ET · American Airlines Center
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars — Thursday, November 12, 2026
How it finished
Winnipeg Jets beat Dallas Stars 8-3.
Goal summary
| P1 04:19 | Arttu Hyry | DAL | 0-1 |
| P1 18:32 | Roope Hintz | DAL | 0-2 |
| P2 01:11 | Dylan Samberg | WPG | 1-2 |
| P2 07:03 | Mark Scheifele | WPG | 2-2 |
| P2 11:14 | David Perron | DAL | 2-3 |
| P2 13:55 | Dawson Mercer | WPG | 3-3 |
| P2 18:12 | Mark Scheifele | WPG | 4-3 |
| P2 19:51 | Dawson Mercer | WPG | 5-3 |
| P3 01:00 | Kyle Connor | WPG | 6-3 |
| P3 15:12 | Gabriel Vilardi | WPG | 7-3 |
| P3 15:26 | Cole Koepke | WPG | 8-3 |
Three stars : 1. M. Scheifele (WPG) · 2. D. Mercer (WPG) · 3. K. Connor (WPG)
What the model said before the game
Before puck drop, arakiceML had the Dallas Stars as the favourite at 62%. The Winnipeg Jets won instead. See the timestamped file.
One game says very little about a model. What matters is whether its 60% calls come in about 60% of the time over hundreds of games: see the accuracy record.
The recent history between these two
Their last 19 meetings, going back to 2021. Dallas Stars lead 12 to 7, at 5.53 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Stars 3, Jets 0 | DAL | 3 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Stars 4, Jets 3 (OT) | DAL | 7 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Stars 4, Jets 3 | WPG | 7 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Stars 5, Jets 4 | WPG | 9 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Jets 4, Stars 0 | DAL | 4 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jets 4, Stars 1 | WPG | 5 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Stars 3, Jets 1 | DAL | 4 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Jets 4, Stars 1 | WPG | 5 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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