Final · 7:00 p.m. ET · TD Garden

Montréal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins — Thursday, November 12, 2026

Montréal Canadiens
MTL
5 – 2
Boston Bruins
BOS
12-3-4
MTL record
13-5-1
BOS record
8-0-2
MTL last 10
6-3-1
BOS last 10
3.53
MTL goals for / game
3.68
BOS goals for / game

How it finished

Montréal Canadiens beat Boston Bruins 5-2.

5-2
MTL @ BOS
31
MTL shots on goal
32
BOS shots on goal

Goal summary

P1 02:34Kirby DachMTL1-0
P1 08:36Josh AndersonMTL2-0
P2 04:24Jake EvansMTL3-0
P2 08:14Cole CaufieldMTL4-0
P2 14:15Phillip DanaultMTL5-0
P2 14:53Casey MittelstadtBOS5-1
P3 00:53Casey MittelstadtBOS5-2

Three stars : 1. J. Fowler (MTL) · 2. C. Mittelstadt (BOS) · 3. J. Evans (MTL)

What the model said before the game

Before puck drop, arakiceML had the Boston Bruins as the favourite at 55%. The Montréal Canadiens won instead. See the timestamped file.

One game says very little about a model. What matters is whether its 60% calls come in about 60% of the time over hundreds of games: see the accuracy record.

The recent history between these two

Their last 18 meetings, going back to 2021. Boston Bruins lead 14 to 4, at 6.89 goals a game.

DateResultHostGoals
Mar 17, 2026Canadiens 3, Bruins 2 (OT)MTL5
Jan 24, 2026Bruins 4, Canadiens 3BOS7
Dec 23, 2025Canadiens 6, Bruins 2BOS8
Nov 15, 2025Bruins 3, Canadiens 2MTL5
Apr 3, 2025Canadiens 4, Bruins 1MTL5
Dec 1, 2024Bruins 6, Canadiens 3BOS9
Oct 10, 2024Bruins 6, Canadiens 4BOS10
Mar 14, 2024Bruins 2, Canadiens 1 (OT)MTL3

Tonight's slate

ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.

Open ArakIce

What the model weighs here

The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.

ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. In Ontario, call ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600.