Final · 3:30 p.m. ET · KeyBank Center
Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres — Sunday, November 8, 2026
How it finished
Vegas Golden Knights beat Buffalo Sabres 4-1.
Goal summary
| P2 12:17 | Mitch Marner | VGK | 1-0 |
| P2 13:43 | Jack Eichel | VGK | 2-0 |
| P3 04:26 | Beck Malenstyn | BUF | 2-1 |
| P3 05:43 | Tomas Hertl | VGK | 3-1 |
| P3 10:00 | Tomas Hertl | VGK | 4-1 |
Three stars : 1. T. Hertl (VGK) · 2. M. Marner (VGK) · 3. A. Hill (VGK)
What the model said before the game
Before puck drop, arakiceML had the Vegas Golden Knights as the favourite at 51%, and they won. See the timestamped file.
One game says very little about a model. What matters is whether its 60% calls come in about 60% of the time over hundreds of games: see the accuracy record.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2022. Buffalo Sabres lead 7 to 3, at 6.10 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sabres 2, Golden Knights 0 | VGK | 2 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Sabres 3, Golden Knights 2 | BUF | 5 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sabres 4, Golden Knights 3 (OT) | BUF | 7 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Golden Knights 3, Sabres 1 | VGK | 4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Sabres 7, Golden Knights 2 | BUF | 9 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Sabres 5, Golden Knights 2 | VGK | 7 |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Sabres 3, Golden Knights 2 | VGK | 5 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Golden Knights 7, Sabres 4 | BUF | 11 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. In Ontario, call ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600.