a matchup between the conferences

Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Head to Head

Buffalo Sabres logo
BUF
vs
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGK
common line 6.5 234567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2022. 5 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 5 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2022
6.10
goals per game
6 of 10
won by the home team
5 of 10
over 6.5

Sabres lead the recent series 7 wins to 3. The home team won 6 of the 10 (60%).

Totals have split rather than clustered. 5 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Nov 10, 2022, Golden Knights 7, Sabres 4, 11 goals between them. 1 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 17, 2026, Sabres 2, Golden Knights 0.

Every Buffalo Sabres and Vegas Golden Knights meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 17, 2026Sabres 2, Golden Knights 0Golden Knights2
Mar 3, 2026Sabres 3, Golden Knights 2Sabres5
Mar 15, 2025Sabres 4, Golden Knights 3 (OT)Sabres7
Jan 4, 2025Golden Knights 3, Sabres 1Golden Knights4
Mar 2, 2024Sabres 7, Golden Knights 2Sabres9
Dec 15, 2023Sabres 5, Golden Knights 2Golden Knights7
Dec 19, 2022Sabres 3, Golden Knights 2Golden Knights5
Nov 10, 2022Golden Knights 7, Sabres 4Sabres11
Mar 10, 2022Sabres 3, Golden Knights 1Sabres4
Feb 1, 2022Golden Knights 5, Sabres 2Golden Knights7

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Buffalo Sabres and Vegas Golden Knights are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.