Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · PPG Paints Arena
Montréal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Saturday, October 3, 2026
What is true about this game today
Montréal Canadiens come in on 4 days of rest. Pittsburgh Penguins come in on 3 days of rest.
The recent history between these two
Their last 15 meetings, going back to 2021. Pittsburgh Penguins lead 9 to 6, at 6.93 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Penguins 4, Canadiens 3 (OT) | PIT | 7 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Canadiens 4, Penguins 0 | MTL | 4 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Canadiens 4, Penguins 2 | PIT | 6 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Penguins 9, Canadiens 2 | MTL | 11 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Penguins 3, Canadiens 1 | PIT | 4 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Penguins 6, Canadiens 3 | MTL | 9 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Penguins 4, Canadiens 1 | PIT | 5 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Penguins 3, Canadiens 2 (OT) | PIT | 5 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Montréal Canadiens against Pittsburgh Penguins, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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