Final · 9:00 p.m. ET · Ball Arena
Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche — Saturday, November 7, 2026
How it finished
Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings 4-0.
Goal summary
| P2 09:46 | Martin Necas | COL | 0-1 |
| P2 12:30 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 0-2 |
| P3 07:15 | Martin Necas | COL | 0-3 |
| P3 09:45 | Cale Makar | COL | 0-4 |
Three stars : 1. M. Necas (COL) · 2. M. Blackwood (COL) · 3. C. Makar (COL)
What the model said before the game
Before puck drop, arakiceML had the Colorado Avalanche as the favourite at 69%, and they won. See the timestamped file.
One game says very little about a model. What matters is whether its 60% calls come in about 60% of the time over hundreds of games: see the accuracy record.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Colorado Avalanche lead 8 to 2, at 6.10 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Red Wings 2, Avalanche 0 | COL | 2 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Avalanche 5, Red Wings 0 | DET | 5 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Avalanche 5, Red Wings 2 | COL | 7 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Avalanche 2, Red Wings 1 | DET | 3 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Avalanche 7, Red Wings 2 | COL | 9 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Red Wings 2, Avalanche 1 (OT) | DET | 3 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Avalanche 5, Red Wings 1 | DET | 6 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Avalanche 6, Red Wings 3 | COL | 9 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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