Preview · 8:30 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Saddledome
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames — Monday, October 26, 2026
What is true about this game today
Toronto Maple Leafs come in on 2 days of rest. Calgary Flames come in on 2 days of rest. Calgary Flames are 4 games into a homestand.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Toronto Maple Leafs lead 9 to 1, at 6.80 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Maple Leafs 4, Flames 2 | CGY | 6 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Maple Leafs 4, Flames 3 | TOR | 7 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Maple Leafs 6, Flames 2 | TOR | 8 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Maple Leafs 6, Flames 3 | CGY | 9 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Maple Leafs 4, Flames 3 | CGY | 7 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Maple Leafs 5, Flames 4 (OT) | TOR | 9 |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Maple Leafs 2, Flames 1 | CGY | 3 |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Maple Leafs 5, Flames 4 (OT) | TOR | 9 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Toronto Maple Leafs against Calgary Flames, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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