Final · 7:00 p.m. ET · Centre Bell

Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens — Saturday, October 17, 2026

Buffalo Sabres
BUF
3 – 4
Montréal Canadiens
MTL
4-3-2
BUF record
4-3-1
MTL record
4-3-2
BUF last 10
4-3-1
MTL last 10
3
BUF goals for / game
3.38
MTL goals for / game

How it finished

Montréal Canadiens beat Buffalo Sabres 4-3.

3-4
BUF @ MTL
26
BUF shots on goal
34
MTL shots on goal

Goal summary

P1 08:21Josh NorrisBUF1-0
P1 11:45Zachary BolducMTL1-1
P1 14:01Cole CaufieldMTL1-2
P2 07:39Alexandre TexierMTL1-3
P2 09:52Jack QuinnBUF2-3
P3 10:12Tage ThompsonBUF3-3
OT 00:54Cole CaufieldMTL3-4

Three stars : 1. C. Caufield (MTL) · 2. A. Carrier (MTL) · 3. Z. Bolduc (MTL)

The recent history between these two

Their last 19 meetings, going back to 2021. Montréal Canadiens lead 11 to 8, at 6.47 goals a game.

DateResultHostGoals
Jan 31, 2026Canadiens 4, Sabres 2BUF6
Jan 22, 2026Sabres 4, Canadiens 2MTL6
Jan 15, 2026Sabres 5, Canadiens 3BUF8
Oct 20, 2025Canadiens 4, Sabres 2MTL6
Mar 3, 2025Canadiens 4, Sabres 3 (OT)MTL7
Mar 1, 2025Canadiens 4, Sabres 2BUF6
Dec 17, 2024Canadiens 6, Sabres 1MTL7
Nov 11, 2024Canadiens 7, Sabres 5BUF12

Tonight's slate

ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.

Open ArakIce

What the model weighs here

The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.

ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.