a Atlantic Division matchup
Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 19 meetings
Canadiens lead the recent series 11 wins to 8. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 7 of the 19 (37%). The only road win by either club was Sabres 5, Canadiens 3 on Feb 13, 2022.
6 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 8 finished at 7 or more. 5 landed on 6. The busiest was Nov 11, 2024, Canadiens 7, Sabres 5, 12 goals between them. 3 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Jan 31, 2026, Canadiens 4, Sabres 2.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 2 | Sabres | 6 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Sabres 4, Canadiens 2 | Canadiens | 6 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Sabres 5, Canadiens 3 | Sabres | 8 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 2 | Canadiens | 6 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | Canadiens | 7 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 2 | Sabres | 6 |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Canadiens 6, Sabres 1 | Canadiens | 7 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Canadiens 7, Sabres 5 | Sabres | 12 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Sabres 3, Canadiens 2 | Canadiens | 5 |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Sabres 6, Canadiens 1 | Canadiens | 7 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Canadiens 3, Sabres 2 (OT) | Sabres | 5 |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Canadiens 3, Sabres 1 | Sabres | 4 |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | Sabres | 7 |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Sabres 7, Canadiens 2 | Canadiens | 9 |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Canadiens 3, Sabres 2 | Sabres | 5 |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Canadiens 4, Sabres 0 | Canadiens | 4 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Sabres 5, Canadiens 3 | Canadiens | 8 |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Sabres 4, Canadiens 1 | Sabres | 5 |
| Oct 14, 2021 | Sabres 5, Canadiens 1 | Sabres | 6 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Buffalo Sabres and Montréal Canadiens are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.