Final · 7:00 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena
Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Thursday, October 15, 2026
How it finished
Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4.
Goal summary
| P1 02:24 | Auston Matthews | TOR | 0-1 |
| P1 03:35 | Jack Quinn | BUF | 1-1 |
| P1 13:10 | Kirill Marchenko | TOR | 1-2 |
| P2 02:41 | Jack Quinn | BUF | 2-2 |
| P2 11:13 | Kirill Marchenko | TOR | 2-3 |
| P2 16:51 | Kirill Marchenko | TOR | 2-4 |
| P3 10:05 | Dennis Gilbert | BUF | 3-4 |
| P3 12:16 | Mattias Samuelsson | BUF | 4-4 |
| OT 03:14 | Owen Power | BUF | 5-4 |
Three stars : 1. K. Marchenko (TOR) · 2. J. Quinn (BUF) · 3. O. Power (BUF)
The recent history between these two
Their last 18 meetings, going back to 2021. Buffalo Sabres lead 9 to 9, at 7.33 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sabres 3, Maple Leafs 2 (OT) | BUF | 5 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Sabres 7, Maple Leafs 4 | TOR | 11 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Maple Leafs 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | TOR | 7 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Sabres 5, Maple Leafs 3 | BUF | 8 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Maple Leafs 4, Sabres 0 | BUF | 4 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Maple Leafs 6, Sabres 3 | BUF | 9 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Maple Leafs 5, Sabres 3 | TOR | 8 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Maple Leafs 3, Sabres 0 | BUF | 3 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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