Preview · 10:00 p.m. ET · T-Mobile Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights — Thursday, October 8, 2026
What is true about this game today
Toronto Maple Leafs come in on 2 days of rest. Vegas Golden Knights come in on 2 days of rest.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Vegas Golden Knights lead 6 to 4, at 7.00 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Golden Knights 6, Maple Leafs 3 | TOR | 9 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Golden Knights 6, Maple Leafs 5 (OT) | VGK | 11 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Golden Knights 5, Maple Leafs 2 | VGK | 7 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Maple Leafs 3, Golden Knights 0 | TOR | 3 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Golden Knights 6, Maple Leafs 2 | TOR | 8 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Maple Leafs 7, Golden Knights 3 | VGK | 10 |
| Nov 8, 2022 | Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT) | TOR | 7 |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Golden Knights 3, Maple Leafs 1 | VGK | 4 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Toronto Maple Leafs against Vegas Golden Knights, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.