Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Benchmark International Arena
Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Thursday, October 8, 2026
What is true about this game today
Minnesota Wild come in on 2 days of rest. Tampa Bay Lightning come in on 3 days of rest. Tampa Bay Lightning are 3 games into a homestand.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Minnesota Wild lead 5 to 5, at 7.10 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Lightning 6, Wild 3 | TBL | 9 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Wild 5, Lightning 1 | MIN | 6 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Wild 5, Lightning 3 | MIN | 8 |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Wild 4, Lightning 2 | TBL | 6 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Lightning 7, Wild 3 | TBL | 10 |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Lightning 4, Wild 1 | MIN | 5 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Lightning 4, Wild 2 | TBL | 6 |
| Jan 4, 2023 | Wild 5, Lightning 1 | MIN | 6 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Minnesota Wild against Tampa Bay Lightning, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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