Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Benchmark International Arena
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Monday, October 5, 2026
What is true about this game today
Philadelphia Flyers come in on 2 days of rest. Tampa Bay Lightning come in on 2 days of rest.
The recent history between these two
Their last 15 meetings, going back to 2021. Tampa Bay Lightning lead 11 to 4, at 6.00 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | Lightning 5, Flyers 1 | PHI | 6 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Lightning 7, Flyers 2 | PHI | 9 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Lightning 3, Flyers 0 | TBL | 3 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Lightning 2, Flyers 0 | TBL | 2 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Flyers 4, Lightning 3 (OT) | PHI | 7 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Flyers 2, Lightning 1 (OT) | TBL | 3 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lightning 7, Flyers 0 | TBL | 7 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Flyers 6, Lightning 2 | PHI | 8 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Philadelphia Flyers against Tampa Bay Lightning, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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