Preview · 7:30 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Wednesday, September 30, 2026
What is true about this game today
Toronto Maple Leafs are playing their second game in two nights.
The recent history between these two
Their last 15 meetings, going back to 2021. New York Islanders lead 9 to 6, at 5.87 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Islanders 5, Maple Leafs 3 | NYI | 8 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Islanders 3, Maple Leafs 1 | TOR | 4 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Islanders 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT) | NYI | 7 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Maple Leafs 2, Islanders 1 | NYI | 3 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Maple Leafs 3, Islanders 1 | TOR | 4 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Islanders 6, Maple Leafs 3 | TOR | 9 |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Islanders 3, Maple Leafs 2 | TOR | 5 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Islanders 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT) | NYI | 7 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for New York Islanders against Toronto Maple Leafs, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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