Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena
Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Tuesday, September 29, 2026
What is true about this game today
Montréal Canadiens are 24-9-8 on the road, Toronto Maple Leafs 18-15-8 at home.
The recent history between these two
Their last 19 meetings, going back to 2021. Toronto Maple Leafs lead 11 to 8, at 5.63 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Canadiens 3, Maple Leafs 1 | MTL | 4 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Canadiens 2, Maple Leafs 1 (OT) | TOR | 3 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Canadiens 5, Maple Leafs 2 | MTL | 7 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Maple Leafs 5, Canadiens 2 | TOR | 7 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Maple Leafs 1, Canadiens 0 (OT) | TOR | 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Maple Leafs 7, Canadiens 3 | MTL | 10 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Maple Leafs 4, Canadiens 1 | TOR | 5 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Canadiens 1, Maple Leafs 0 | MTL | 1 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Montréal Canadiens against Toronto Maple Leafs, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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