Tampa Bay Lightning · goaltender

Andrei Vasilevskiy Prop Predictions

Projections and betting context for Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Tampa Bay Lightning. See how ArakIce models Andrei Vasilevskiy's props — saves and totals — and where the numbers point against the sportsbook line.

If you follow Andrei Vasilevskiy, you already know the box score only tells part of the story. Prop betting rewards understanding the process behind the numbers: the ice time, the role, the matchup and the pace that decide how many chances a goaltender actually gets. This page explains how ArakIce turns that context into a projection for Andrei Vasilevskiy, and how to use it without fooling yourself.

See Andrei Vasilevskiy's live projection tonight

When Andrei Vasilevskiy is playing, ArakIce shows the projection and the edge against the current prop line — updated through the day.

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Andrei Vasilevskiy's season at a glance

58
GP
39
W
2.31
GAA
0.912
SV%
2
SO

These are Andrei Vasilevskiy's current regular-season totals. They form the base rate the model starts from before adjusting for tonight's specific matchup, opponent quality, rest and role.

How we project Andrei Vasilevskiy's props

For a goaltender like Andrei Vasilevskiy, the props that matter most are saves and, on the totals side, the game's over/under — both driven by how many shots the opposition is likely to generate. Our model estimates Andrei Vasilevskiy's expected workload from the quality of shots Tampa Bay Lightning tends to allow, the pace of the opponent, and rest, then compares that projection to the posted save line.

Crucially, the projection is not just a season average dressed up. It weighs the specific game: the opponent Tampa Bay Lightning faces, whether either team is on a back-to-back or a long road trip, the goaltending on the other side, and the referee crew's tendencies where they affect scoring. Those factors are weighed per matchup, so Andrei Vasilevskiy's number on a rested home night against a weak defense looks very different from a tired night against an elite one.

Which Andrei Vasilevskiy props to watch

The best prop bets are the ones where the model and the market disagree most, not simply the ones with the biggest names attached. When Andrei Vasilevskiy's projection clearly exceeds the posted line, that gap is the reason to bet the over; when it falls short, the under or a pass is the disciplined play. Treat the size of the gap as your guide to stake size, and remember that even a strong edge will miss plenty of individual nights.

Track Andrei Vasilevskiy in the app

Follow Andrei Vasilevskiy's projections game by game and get the edge against the line the moment it moves.

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ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available — in the US call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.