a Western Conference matchup

Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights Head to Head

Minnesota Wild logo
MIN
vs
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGK
common line 6.5 345678910 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2021. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 5 at 7 or more, and 3 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2021
6.00
goals per game
7 of 15
won by the home team
5 of 15
over 6.5

Golden Knights lead the recent series 10 wins to 5. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 7 of the 15 (47%). The only road win by either club was Golden Knights 5, Wild 1 on Feb 9, 2023.

7 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 12, 2021, Golden Knights 6, Wild 4, 10 goals between them. 3 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 6, 2026, Wild 4, Golden Knights 2.

Every Minnesota Wild and Vegas Golden Knights meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 6, 2026Wild 4, Golden Knights 2Golden Knights6
Dec 29, 2025Wild 5, Golden Knights 2Golden Knights7
Nov 16, 2025Wild 3, Golden Knights 2 (OT)Wild5
Mar 25, 2025Golden Knights 5, Wild 1Wild6
Jan 12, 2025Golden Knights 4, Wild 1Golden Knights5
Dec 15, 2024Golden Knights 3, Wild 2Wild5
Apr 12, 2024Golden Knights 7, Wild 2Golden Knights9
Mar 30, 2024Golden Knights 2, Wild 1 (OT)Wild3
Feb 12, 2024Wild 5, Golden Knights 3Golden Knights8
Apr 3, 2023Golden Knights 4, Wild 3 (OT)Wild7
Apr 1, 2023Golden Knights 4, Wild 1Golden Knights5
Feb 9, 2023Golden Knights 5, Wild 1Wild6
Mar 21, 2022Wild 3, Golden Knights 0Wild3
Dec 12, 2021Golden Knights 6, Wild 4Golden Knights10
Nov 11, 2021Golden Knights 3, Wild 2Golden Knights5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Minnesota Wild and Vegas Golden Knights are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.