a matchup between the conferences

Minnesota Wild vs Montréal Canadiens Head to Head

Minnesota Wild logo
MIN
vs
Montréal Canadiens logo
MTL
common line 6.5 2345678910 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2022. 5 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 5 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2022
5.60
goals per game
6 of 10
won by the home team
5 of 10
over 6.5

Wild lead the recent series 9 wins to 1. The home team won 6 of the 10 (60%).

Totals have split rather than clustered. 5 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 24, 2022, Wild 8, Canadiens 2, 10 goals between them. 2 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Feb 2, 2026, Wild 4, Canadiens 3.

Every Minnesota Wild and Montréal Canadiens meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Feb 2, 2026Wild 4, Canadiens 3 (OT)Wild7
Jan 20, 2026Canadiens 4, Wild 3Canadiens7
Jan 30, 2025Wild 4, Canadiens 0Canadiens4
Nov 14, 2024Wild 3, Canadiens 0Wild3
Dec 21, 2023Wild 4, Canadiens 3 (OT)Wild7
Oct 17, 2023Wild 5, Canadiens 2Canadiens7
Nov 1, 2022Wild 4, Canadiens 1Wild5
Oct 25, 2022Wild 3, Canadiens 1Canadiens4
Apr 19, 2022Wild 2, Canadiens 0Canadiens2
Jan 24, 2022Wild 8, Canadiens 2Wild10

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Minnesota Wild and Montréal Canadiens are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Minnesota Wild vs Montréal Canadiens

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Minnesota Wild vs Montréal Canadiens

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.