a Central Division matchup
Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 19 meetings
Stars lead the recent series 11 wins to 8. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 11 of the 19 (58%). The only road win by either club was Stars 6, Wild 3 on Mar 6, 2022.
Totals have split rather than clustered. 10 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 9 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 20, 2021, Stars 7, Wild 4, 11 goals between them. 6 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 9, 2026, Stars 5, Wild 4.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Stars 5, Wild 4 | Stars | 9 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Wild 2, Stars 1 (OT) | Wild | 3 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Wild 5, Stars 2 | Wild | 7 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Stars 5, Wild 2 | Stars | 7 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Wild 3, Stars 2 (OT) | Wild | 5 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Stars 3, Wild 0 | Stars | 3 |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Wild 3, Stars 2 (OT) | Stars | 5 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Stars 2, Wild 1 | Wild | 3 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Stars 7, Wild 2 | Stars | 9 |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Stars 4, Wild 0 | Wild | 4 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Stars 8, Wild 3 | Wild | 11 |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Wild 2, Stars 1 (OT) | Wild | 3 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Stars 4, Wild 1 | Stars | 5 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Stars 4, Wild 1 | Wild | 5 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Wild 6, Stars 5 (OT) | Stars | 11 |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Wild 3, Stars 2 (OT) | Stars | 5 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Stars 6, Wild 3 | Wild | 9 |
| Dec 20, 2021 | Stars 7, Wild 4 | Stars | 11 |
| Nov 18, 2021 | Wild 7, Stars 2 | Wild | 9 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.