a matchup between the conferences

Dallas Stars vs Florida Panthers Head to Head

Dallas Stars logo
DAL
vs
Florida Panthers logo
FLA
common line 6.5 4567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2022. 1 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 7 at 7 or more, and 2 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2022
7.80
goals per game
6 of 10
won by the home team
7 of 10
over 6.5

Panthers lead the recent series 7 wins to 3. The home team won 6 of the 10 (60%).

1 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 7 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 6, 2022, Stars 6, Panthers 5, 11 goals between them. 2 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Dec 13, 2025, Panthers 4, Stars 0.

Every Dallas Stars and Florida Panthers meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Dec 13, 2025Panthers 4, Stars 0Stars4
Nov 1, 2025Panthers 4, Stars 3 (OT)Panthers7
Nov 2, 2024Panthers 4, Stars 2Panthers6
Nov 1, 2024Panthers 6, Stars 4Stars10
Mar 12, 2024Panthers 4, Stars 3Stars7
Dec 6, 2023Panthers 5, Stars 4Panthers9
Jan 8, 2023Stars 5, Panthers 1Stars6
Nov 17, 2022Stars 6, Panthers 4Panthers10
Jan 14, 2022Panthers 7, Stars 1Panthers8
Jan 6, 2022Stars 6, Panthers 5 (OT)Stars11

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Dallas Stars and Florida Panthers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Dallas Stars vs Florida Panthers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Dallas Stars vs Florida Panthers

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.