a matchup between the conferences
Dallas Stars vs Montréal Canadiens Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 10 meetings
Stars lead the recent series 6 wins to 4. The home team won 1 of the 10 (10%).
3 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 6 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 18, 2022, Canadiens 5, Stars 3, 8 goals between them. 3 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Jan 4, 2026, Canadiens 4, Stars 3.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Canadiens 4, Stars 3 (OT) | Stars | 7 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Stars 7, Canadiens 0 | Canadiens | 7 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Canadiens 3, Stars 1 | Stars | 4 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Stars 2, Canadiens 1 (OT) | Canadiens | 3 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Stars 3, Canadiens 2 | Canadiens | 5 |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Canadiens 4, Stars 3 | Stars | 7 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Stars 4, Canadiens 2 | Stars | 6 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Stars 5, Canadiens 2 | Canadiens | 7 |
| Mar 17, 2022 | Stars 4, Canadiens 3 (OT) | Canadiens | 7 |
| Jan 18, 2022 | Canadiens 5, Stars 3 | Stars | 8 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Dallas Stars and Montréal Canadiens are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Dallas Stars vs Montréal Canadiens
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Dallas Stars vs Montréal Canadiens
These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.