a Central Division matchup
Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 18 meetings
Stars lead the recent series 12 wins to 6. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 13 of the 18 (72%). The only road win by either club was Blues 4, Stars 1 on Dec 14, 2021.
Totals have split rather than clustered. 13 of the 18 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Mar 2, 2025, Stars 6, Blues 3, 9 goals between them. 4 of the 18 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Feb 4, 2026, Stars 5, Blues 4.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Stars 5, Blues 4 | Stars | 9 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Stars 4, Blues 3 | Blues | 7 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Stars 3, Blues 2 | Stars | 5 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Blues 3, Stars 1 | Blues | 4 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Stars 6, Blues 3 | Stars | 9 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Stars 2, Blues 0 | Blues | 2 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Stars 2, Blues 1 (OT) | Stars | 3 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Stars 2, Blues 1 (OT) | Stars | 3 |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Blues 2, Stars 1 | Blues | 3 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Blues 4, Stars 3 (OT) | Blues | 7 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Stars 2, Blues 1 (OT) | Stars | 3 |
| Apr 13, 2023 | Stars 1, Blues 0 | Stars | 1 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Stars 5, Blues 2 | Blues | 7 |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Stars 4, Blues 1 | Blues | 5 |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Blues 2, Stars 1 | Blues | 3 |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Blues 4, Stars 1 | Blues | 5 |
| Dec 14, 2021 | Blues 4, Stars 1 | Stars | 5 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Stars 4, Blues 1 | Stars | 5 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Dallas Stars and St. Louis Blues are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.