a matchup between the conferences

Buffalo Sabres vs Minnesota Wild Head to Head

Buffalo Sabres logo
BUF
vs
Minnesota Wild logo
MIN
common line 6.5 1234567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2021. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 3 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2021
6.00
goals per game
5 of 10
won by the home team
3 of 10
over 6.5

Sabres lead the recent series 6 wins to 4. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 5 of the 10 (50%). The only road win by either club was Sabres 3, Wild 2 on Dec 16, 2021.

Totals have split rather than clustered. 7 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 3 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 7, 2023, Sabres 6, Wild 5, 11 goals between them. 6 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Jan 17, 2026, Wild 5, Sabres 4.

Every Buffalo Sabres and Minnesota Wild meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Jan 17, 2026Wild 5, Sabres 4 (OT)Sabres9
Nov 29, 2025Sabres 3, Wild 2 (OT)Wild5
Mar 22, 2025Wild 4, Sabres 1Wild5
Nov 27, 2024Wild 1, Sabres 0Sabres1
Feb 17, 2024Sabres 3, Wild 2 (OT)Wild5
Nov 10, 2023Sabres 3, Wild 2Sabres5
Jan 28, 2023Wild 3, Sabres 2 (OT)Wild5
Jan 7, 2023Sabres 6, Wild 5 (OT)Sabres11
Mar 4, 2022Sabres 5, Wild 4Sabres9
Dec 16, 2021Sabres 3, Wild 2 (OT)Wild5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Buffalo Sabres and Minnesota Wild are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Buffalo Sabres vs Minnesota Wild

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Buffalo Sabres vs Minnesota Wild

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.