a Atlantic Division matchup
Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 19 meetings
Red Wings lead the recent series 11 wins to 8. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 11 of the 19 (58%). The only road win by either club was Red Wings 4, Sabres 3 on Nov 6, 2021.
6 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 12 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Apr 6, 2023, Sabres 7, Red Wings 6, 13 goals between them. 7 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 27, 2026, Red Wings 5, Sabres 2.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Red Wings 5, Sabres 2 | Sabres | 7 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Sabres 5, Red Wings 4 (OT) | Red Wings | 9 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Sabres 4, Red Wings 2 | Sabres | 6 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Red Wings 7, Sabres 3 | Red Wings | 10 |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Red Wings 6, Sabres 5 (OT) | Sabres | 11 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Red Wings 2, Sabres 1 | Red Wings | 3 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sabres 5, Red Wings 3 | Sabres | 8 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Red Wings 3, Sabres 1 | Red Wings | 4 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Red Wings 4, Sabres 1 | Red Wings | 5 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sabres 7, Red Wings 3 | Sabres | 10 |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Red Wings 5, Sabres 3 | Sabres | 8 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Sabres 7, Red Wings 6 (OT) | Red Wings | 13 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Sabres 6, Red Wings 3 | Sabres | 9 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Sabres 5, Red Wings 4 (OT) | Red Wings | 9 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Sabres 8, Red Wings 3 | Sabres | 11 |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Red Wings 3, Sabres 2 (OT) | Sabres | 5 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Red Wings 4, Sabres 0 | Red Wings | 4 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Red Wings 3, Sabres 2 (OT) | Red Wings | 5 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Red Wings 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | Sabres | 7 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Buffalo Sabres and Detroit Red Wings are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.