a Eastern Conference matchup

Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers Head to Head

Buffalo Sabres logo
BUF
vs
New York Rangers logo
NYR
common line 6.5 345678910 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2021. 6 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 7 at 7 or more, and 2 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2021
6.27
goals per game
5 of 15
won by the home team
7 of 15
over 6.5

Rangers lead the recent series 8 wins to 7. The home team won 5 of the 15 (33%).

6 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 7 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Feb 22, 2025, Sabres 8, Rangers 2, 10 goals between them. 5 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 8, 2026, Sabres 5, Rangers 3.

Every Buffalo Sabres and New York Rangers meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Apr 8, 2026Sabres 5, Rangers 3Rangers8
Jan 8, 2026Sabres 5, Rangers 2Rangers7
Oct 9, 2025Rangers 4, Sabres 0Sabres4
Feb 22, 2025Sabres 8, Rangers 2Sabres10
Dec 11, 2024Rangers 3, Sabres 2Sabres5
Nov 7, 2024Sabres 6, Rangers 1Rangers7
Dec 23, 2023Rangers 4, Sabres 3 (OT)Rangers7
Nov 27, 2023Sabres 5, Rangers 1Rangers6
Oct 12, 2023Rangers 5, Sabres 1Sabres6
Apr 10, 2023Sabres 3, Rangers 2 (OT)Rangers5
Mar 31, 2023Sabres 3, Rangers 2 (OT)Sabres5
Mar 11, 2023Rangers 2, Sabres 1 (OT)Sabres3
Mar 27, 2022Rangers 5, Sabres 4 (OT)Rangers9
Dec 10, 2021Rangers 2, Sabres 1Sabres3
Nov 21, 2021Rangers 5, Sabres 4Rangers9

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Buffalo Sabres and New York Rangers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.