a Eastern Conference matchup
Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 15 meetings
Penguins lead the recent series 9 wins to 6. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 8 of the 15 (53%). The only road win by either club was Red Wings 3, Penguins 2 on Jan 28, 2022.
3 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 9 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Mar 27, 2022, Penguins 11, Red Wings 2, 13 goals between them. 5 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 31, 2026, Penguins 5, Red Wings 1.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Penguins 5, Red Wings 1 | Penguins | 6 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Penguins 4, Red Wings 1 | Red Wings | 5 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Penguins 4, Red Wings 3 (OT) | Penguins | 7 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Red Wings 4, Penguins 2 | Red Wings | 6 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Red Wings 3, Penguins 2 (OT) | Penguins | 5 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Penguins 6, Red Wings 3 | Red Wings | 9 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Penguins 6, Red Wings 5 (OT) | Penguins | 11 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Penguins 6, Red Wings 3 | Penguins | 9 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Red Wings 6, Penguins 3 | Red Wings | 9 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Penguins 5, Red Wings 1 | Red Wings | 6 |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Red Wings 7, Penguins 4 | Red Wings | 11 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Red Wings 5, Penguins 4 (OT) | Penguins | 9 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Penguins 7, Red Wings 2 | Red Wings | 9 |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Penguins 11, Red Wings 2 | Penguins | 13 |
| Jan 28, 2022 | Red Wings 3, Penguins 2 (OT) | Penguins | 5 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Detroit Red Wings and Pittsburgh Penguins are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.