a Eastern Conference matchup

Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders Head to Head

Detroit Red Wings logo
DET
vs
New York Islanders logo
NYI
common line 6.5 123456789 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2021. 8 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 6 at 7 or more, and 1 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2021
5.33
goals per game
10 of 15
won by the home team
6 of 15
over 6.5

Red Wings lead the recent series 9 wins to 6. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 10 of the 15 (67%).

8 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 6 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Mar 21, 2024, Red Wings 6, Islanders 3, 9 goals between them. 2 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Dec 16, 2025, Red Wings 3, Islanders 2.

Every Detroit Red Wings and New York Islanders meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Dec 16, 2025Red Wings 3, Islanders 2Red Wings5
Nov 20, 2025Islanders 5, Red Wings 0Red Wings5
Oct 23, 2025Islanders 7, Red Wings 2Islanders9
Nov 25, 2024Red Wings 4, Islanders 2Islanders6
Nov 21, 2024Red Wings 2, Islanders 1Red Wings3
Oct 22, 2024Red Wings 1, Islanders 0Islanders1
Mar 21, 2024Red Wings 6, Islanders 3Red Wings9
Feb 29, 2024Islanders 5, Red Wings 3Red Wings8
Oct 30, 2023Red Wings 4, Islanders 3 (OT)Islanders7
Mar 4, 2023Islanders 4, Red Wings 1Islanders5
Jan 27, 2023Islanders 2, Red Wings 0Islanders2
Nov 5, 2022Red Wings 3, Islanders 0Red Wings3
Mar 24, 2022Islanders 5, Red Wings 2Islanders7
Dec 14, 2021Red Wings 2, Islanders 1Red Wings3
Dec 4, 2021Red Wings 4, Islanders 3 (OT)Red Wings7

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Detroit Red Wings and New York Islanders are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.