a Eastern Conference matchup

Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers Head to Head

Detroit Red Wings logo
DET
vs
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHI
common line 6.5 12345678910111213 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2022. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 6 at 7 or more, and 2 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2022
6.13
goals per game
11 of 15
won by the home team
6 of 15
over 6.5

Red Wings lead the recent series 8 wins to 7. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 11 of the 15 (73%). The only road win by either club was Red Wings 6, Flyers 3 on Feb 9, 2022.

7 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 6 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 22, 2023, Red Wings 7, Flyers 6, 13 goals between them. 2 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 9, 2026, Red Wings 6, Flyers 3.

Every Detroit Red Wings and Philadelphia Flyers meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Apr 9, 2026Red Wings 6, Flyers 3Red Wings9
Apr 2, 2026Red Wings 4, Flyers 2Flyers6
Mar 28, 2026Flyers 5, Red Wings 3Red Wings8
Jan 21, 2025Flyers 2, Red Wings 1 (OT)Flyers3
Dec 18, 2024Red Wings 6, Flyers 4Red Wings10
Dec 12, 2024Flyers 4, Red Wings 1Flyers5
Jan 25, 2024Red Wings 3, Flyers 0Red Wings3
Dec 22, 2023Red Wings 7, Flyers 6 (OT)Red Wings13
Dec 16, 2023Flyers 1, Red Wings 0Flyers1
Mar 25, 2023Flyers 3, Red Wings 0Flyers3
Mar 5, 2023Flyers 3, Red Wings 1Flyers4
Jan 21, 2023Flyers 2, Red Wings 1Red Wings3
Mar 22, 2022Red Wings 6, Flyers 3Red Wings9
Feb 12, 2022Red Wings 4, Flyers 2Red Wings6
Feb 9, 2022Red Wings 6, Flyers 3Flyers9

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Detroit Red Wings and Philadelphia Flyers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.