a Atlantic Division matchup

Detroit Red Wings vs Montréal Canadiens Head to Head

Detroit Red Wings logo
DET
vs
Montréal Canadiens logo
MTL
common line 6.5 3456789 total goals, one dot per meeting
18 meetings since 2021. 9 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 6 at 7 or more, and 3 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 18 meetings

18
meetings since 2021
5.83
goals per game
9 of 18
won by the home team
6 of 18
over 6.5

Red Wings lead the recent series 10 wins to 8. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 9 of the 18 (50%). The only road win by either club was Canadiens 3, Red Wings 2 on Nov 8, 2022.

9 of the 18 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 6 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 2, 2023, Red Wings 5, Canadiens 4, 9 goals between them. 7 of the 18 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 19, 2026, Red Wings 3, Canadiens 1.

Every Detroit Red Wings and Montréal Canadiens meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 19, 2026Red Wings 3, Canadiens 1Red Wings4
Jan 10, 2026Red Wings 4, Canadiens 0Canadiens4
Oct 9, 2025Canadiens 5, Red Wings 1Red Wings6
Apr 8, 2025Canadiens 4, Red Wings 1Canadiens5
Jan 23, 2025Red Wings 4, Canadiens 2Red Wings6
Dec 21, 2024Canadiens 5, Red Wings 1Canadiens6
Dec 20, 2024Canadiens 4, Red Wings 3Red Wings7
Apr 16, 2024Red Wings 5, Canadiens 4 (OT)Canadiens9
Apr 15, 2024Red Wings 5, Canadiens 4 (OT)Red Wings9
Dec 2, 2023Red Wings 5, Canadiens 4 (OT)Canadiens9
Nov 9, 2023Canadiens 3, Red Wings 2 (OT)Red Wings5
Apr 4, 2023Red Wings 5, Canadiens 0Canadiens5
Jan 26, 2023Red Wings 4, Canadiens 3 (OT)Canadiens7
Nov 8, 2022Canadiens 3, Red Wings 2 (OT)Red Wings5
Oct 14, 2022Red Wings 3, Canadiens 0Red Wings3
Nov 13, 2021Red Wings 3, Canadiens 2 (OT)Red Wings5
Nov 2, 2021Canadiens 3, Red Wings 0Canadiens3
Oct 23, 2021Canadiens 6, Red Wings 1Canadiens7

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Detroit Red Wings and Montréal Canadiens are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Detroit Red Wings vs Montréal Canadiens

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Detroit Red Wings vs Montréal Canadiens

Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.