a Eastern Conference matchup
New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 15 meetings
Rangers lead the recent series 9 wins to 6. The home team won 6 of the 15 (40%).
8 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 14, 2026, Senators 8, Rangers 4, 12 goals between them. 2 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 23, 2026, Senators 2, Rangers 1.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Senators 2, Rangers 1 | Rangers | 3 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Senators 8, Rangers 4 | Rangers | 12 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Rangers 4, Senators 2 | Senators | 6 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Senators 4, Rangers 3 (OT) | Senators | 7 |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Rangers 5, Senators 0 | Rangers | 5 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Rangers 2, Senators 1 | Rangers | 3 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Rangers 4, Senators 0 | Rangers | 4 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Rangers 7, Senators 2 | Senators | 9 |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Senators 6, Rangers 2 | Senators | 8 |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Senators 5, Rangers 3 | Rangers | 8 |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Senators 3, Rangers 2 (OT) | Rangers | 5 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Rangers 3, Senators 1 | Senators | 4 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Rangers 5, Senators 1 | Rangers | 6 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Rangers 2, Senators 1 | Senators | 3 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Rangers 3, Senators 2 | Senators | 5 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When New York Rangers and Ottawa Senators are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators
Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.