a matchup between the conferences

Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks Head to Head

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PIT
vs
San Jose Sharks logo
SJS
common line 6.5 345678910111213 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2022. 4 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 6 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2022
7.50
goals per game
4 of 10
won by the home team
6 of 10
over 6.5

Penguins lead the recent series 7 wins to 3. The home team won 4 of the 10 (40%).

Totals have split rather than clustered. 4 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 6 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Jan 2, 2022, Penguins 8, Sharks 5, 13 goals between them. 3 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Dec 13, 2025, Sharks 6, Penguins 5.

Every Pittsburgh Penguins and San Jose Sharks meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Dec 13, 2025Sharks 6, Penguins 5 (OT)Penguins11
Oct 18, 2025Penguins 3, Sharks 0Sharks3
Jan 27, 2025Sharks 2, Penguins 1Sharks3
Nov 16, 2024Penguins 4, Sharks 3 (OT)Penguins7
Mar 14, 2024Penguins 6, Sharks 3Penguins9
Nov 4, 2023Penguins 10, Sharks 2Sharks12
Feb 14, 2023Penguins 3, Sharks 1Sharks4
Jan 28, 2023Sharks 6, Penguins 4Penguins10
Jan 15, 2022Penguins 2, Sharks 1 (OT)Sharks3
Jan 2, 2022Penguins 8, Sharks 5Penguins13

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Pittsburgh Penguins and San Jose Sharks are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.