a matchup between the conferences

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Winnipeg Jets Head to Head

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PIT
vs
Winnipeg Jets logo
WPG
common line 6.5 3456789 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2021. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 3 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2021
5.30
goals per game
6 of 10
won by the home team
3 of 10
over 6.5

Jets lead the recent series 5 wins to 5. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 6 of the 10 (60%). The only road win by either club was Penguins 3, Jets 1 on Nov 22, 2021.

Totals have split rather than clustered. 7 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 3 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Oct 20, 2024, Jets 6, Penguins 3, 9 goals between them. 2 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 21, 2026, Penguins 5, Jets 4.

Every Pittsburgh Penguins and Winnipeg Jets meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 21, 2026Penguins 5, Jets 4 (OT)Penguins9
Nov 1, 2025Jets 5, Penguins 2Jets7
Nov 22, 2024Jets 4, Penguins 1Penguins5
Oct 20, 2024Jets 6, Penguins 3Jets9
Feb 10, 2024Jets 2, Penguins 1Jets3
Feb 6, 2024Penguins 3, Jets 0Penguins3
Jan 13, 2023Jets 4, Penguins 1Penguins5
Nov 19, 2022Penguins 3, Jets 0Jets3
Jan 23, 2022Penguins 3, Jets 2 (OT)Penguins5
Nov 22, 2021Penguins 3, Jets 1Jets4

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Pittsburgh Penguins and Winnipeg Jets are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Pittsburgh Penguins vs Winnipeg Jets

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Pittsburgh Penguins vs Winnipeg Jets

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.