a Atlantic Division matchup
Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 18 meetings
Panthers lead the recent series 13 wins to 5. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 12 of the 18 (67%). The only road win by either club was Senators 8, Panthers 2 on Dec 14, 2021.
8 of the 18 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 7 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 14, 2021, Senators 8, Panthers 2, 10 goals between them. 2 of the 18 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 9, 2026, Senators 5, Panthers 1.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Senators 5, Panthers 1 | Senators | 6 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Panthers 6, Senators 3 | Panthers | 9 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Panthers 3, Senators 2 | Senators | 5 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Panthers 6, Senators 2 | Panthers | 8 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Senators 3, Panthers 0 | Senators | 3 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Panthers 5, Senators 1 | Panthers | 6 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Senators 3, Panthers 1 | Senators | 4 |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Panthers 2, Senators 0 | Panthers | 2 |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Panthers 6, Senators 0 | Senators | 6 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Panthers 3, Senators 2 (OT) | Panthers | 5 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Panthers 5, Senators 0 | Senators | 5 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Panthers 7, Senators 2 | Panthers | 9 |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Senators 5, Panthers 2 | Senators | 7 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Panthers 5, Senators 3 | Panthers | 8 |
| Apr 28, 2022 | Panthers 4, Senators 0 | Senators | 4 |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Panthers 4, Senators 3 (OT) | Senators | 7 |
| Mar 3, 2022 | Panthers 3, Senators 0 | Panthers | 3 |
| Dec 14, 2021 | Senators 8, Panthers 2 | Panthers | 10 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Florida Panthers and Ottawa Senators are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.