a Metropolitan Division matchup

Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Head to Head

Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHI
vs
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PIT
common line 6.5 345678910111213 total goals, one dot per meeting
19 meetings since 2021. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 9 at 7 or more, and 3 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 19 meetings

19
meetings since 2021
6.84
goals per game
13 of 19
won by the home team
9 of 19
over 6.5

Penguins lead the recent series 12 wins to 7. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 13 of the 19 (68%). The only road win by either club was Penguins 6, Flyers 2 on Jan 6, 2022.

7 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 9 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Feb 25, 2024, Penguins 7, Flyers 6, 13 goals between them. 7 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 7, 2026, Flyers 4, Penguins 3.

Every Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 7, 2026Flyers 4, Penguins 3 (OT)Penguins7
Jan 15, 2026Penguins 6, Flyers 3Penguins9
Dec 1, 2025Penguins 5, Flyers 1Flyers6
Oct 28, 2025Flyers 3, Penguins 2 (OT)Flyers5
Feb 27, 2025Penguins 5, Flyers 4 (OT)Penguins9
Feb 25, 2025Flyers 6, Penguins 1Flyers7
Feb 8, 2025Flyers 3, Penguins 2Flyers5
Dec 23, 2024Penguins 7, Flyers 3Penguins10
Feb 25, 2024Penguins 7, Flyers 6Penguins13
Jan 8, 2024Penguins 4, Flyers 1Flyers5
Dec 4, 2023Flyers 2, Penguins 1 (OT)Flyers3
Dec 2, 2023Flyers 4, Penguins 3 (OT)Penguins7
Apr 2, 2023Penguins 4, Flyers 2Penguins6
Mar 11, 2023Penguins 5, Flyers 1Penguins6
Nov 25, 2022Penguins 4, Flyers 1Flyers5
Apr 24, 2022Flyers 4, Penguins 1Flyers5
Feb 15, 2022Penguins 5, Flyers 4 (OT)Penguins9
Jan 6, 2022Penguins 6, Flyers 2Flyers8
Nov 4, 2021Penguins 3, Flyers 2 (OT)Penguins5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.