a Metropolitan Division matchup
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 19 meetings
Capitals lead the recent series 12 wins to 7. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 12 of the 19 (63%). The only road win by either club was Flyers 2, Capitals 1 on Nov 6, 2021.
10 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 8 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Apr 12, 2022, Capitals 9, Flyers 2, 11 goals between them. 2 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 31, 2026, Capitals 6, Flyers 4.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Capitals 6, Flyers 4 | Capitals | 10 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Flyers 4, Capitals 1 | Flyers | 5 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Capitals 3, Flyers 1 | Capitals | 4 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Flyers 4, Capitals 2 | Flyers | 6 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Capitals 3, Flyers 2 | Capitals | 5 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Capitals 4, Flyers 3 | Flyers | 7 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Capitals 6, Flyers 3 | Capitals | 9 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Capitals 4, Flyers 1 | Flyers | 5 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Capitals 2, Flyers 1 | Flyers | 3 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Capitals 5, Flyers 2 | Capitals | 7 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Flyers 4, Capitals 3 (OT) | Flyers | 7 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Flyers 3, Capitals 1 | Capitals | 4 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Flyers 5, Capitals 3 | Flyers | 8 |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Capitals 4, Flyers 1 | Flyers | 5 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Capitals 3, Flyers 2 (OT) | Capitals | 5 |
| Apr 12, 2022 | Capitals 9, Flyers 2 | Capitals | 11 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Flyers 2, Capitals 1 | Flyers | 3 |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Capitals 5, Flyers 3 | Flyers | 8 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Flyers 2, Capitals 1 | Capitals | 3 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Philadelphia Flyers and Washington Capitals are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals
Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.