a Western Conference matchup

Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild Head to Head

Calgary Flames logo
CGY
vs
Minnesota Wild logo
MIN
common line 6.5 12345678910 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2022. 8 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 5 at 7 or more, and 2 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2022
5.53
goals per game
9 of 15
won by the home team
5 of 15
over 6.5

Flames lead the recent series 9 wins to 6. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 9 of the 15 (60%). The only road win by either club was Flames 5, Wild 1 on Mar 1, 2022.

8 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 5 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Feb 26, 2022, Flames 7, Wild 3, 10 goals between them. 4 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Jan 29, 2026, Wild 4, Flames 1.

Every Calgary Flames and Minnesota Wild meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Jan 29, 2026Wild 4, Flames 1Wild5
Dec 4, 2025Flames 4, Wild 1Flames5
Nov 9, 2025Wild 2, Flames 0Wild2
Apr 11, 2025Flames 4, Wild 2Flames6
Jan 25, 2025Flames 5, Wild 4Wild9
Nov 23, 2024Flames 4, Wild 3 (OT)Flames7
Jan 2, 2024Flames 3, Wild 1Wild4
Dec 14, 2023Wild 3, Flames 2 (OT)Wild5
Dec 5, 2023Wild 5, Flames 2Flames7
Mar 7, 2023Flames 1, Wild 0 (OT)Wild1
Mar 4, 2023Wild 3, Flames 0Flames3
Dec 7, 2022Flames 5, Wild 3Flames8
Apr 28, 2022Wild 3, Flames 2 (OT)Wild5
Mar 1, 2022Flames 5, Wild 1Wild6
Feb 26, 2022Flames 7, Wild 3Flames10

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Calgary Flames and Minnesota Wild are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.