a matchup between the conferences

Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers Head to Head

Calgary Flames logo
CGY
vs
New York Rangers logo
NYR
common line 6.5 23456789 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2021. 6 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 1 at 7 or more, and 3 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2021
5.00
goals per game
7 of 10
won by the home team
1 of 10
over 6.5

Flames lead the recent series 6 wins to 4. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 7 of the 10 (70%).

6 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 1 finished at 7 or more. 3 landed on 6. The busiest was Feb 6, 2023, Rangers 5, Flames 4, 9 goals between them. 2 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 10, 2026, Rangers 4, Flames 0.

Every Calgary Flames and New York Rangers meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 10, 2026Rangers 4, Flames 0Rangers4
Oct 26, 2025Flames 5, Rangers 1Flames6
Mar 18, 2025Flames 2, Rangers 1Rangers3
Nov 21, 2024Flames 3, Rangers 2Flames5
Feb 12, 2024Rangers 2, Flames 0Rangers2
Oct 24, 2023Rangers 3, Flames 1Flames4
Feb 18, 2023Flames 3, Rangers 2 (OT)Flames5
Feb 6, 2023Rangers 5, Flames 4 (OT)Rangers9
Nov 6, 2021Flames 6, Rangers 0Flames6
Oct 25, 2021Flames 5, Rangers 1Rangers6

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Calgary Flames and New York Rangers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.