a Eastern Conference matchup
New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 15 meetings
Maple Leafs lead the recent series 10 wins to 5. The home team won 5 of the 15 (33%).
5 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 9 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Apr 11, 2024, Devils 6, Maple Leafs 5, 11 goals between them. 4 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 4, 2026, Devils 4, Maple Leafs 3.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Devils 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT) | Devils | 7 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Maple Leafs 4, Devils 0 | Maple Leafs | 4 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Devils 5, Maple Leafs 2 | Maple Leafs | 7 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Maple Leafs 4, Devils 3 (OT) | Maple Leafs | 7 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Maple Leafs 2, Devils 1 (OT) | Devils | 3 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Maple Leafs 4, Devils 2 | Devils | 6 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Devils 6, Maple Leafs 5 | Maple Leafs | 11 |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Maple Leafs 5, Devils 2 | Devils | 7 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Devils 6, Maple Leafs 3 | Maple Leafs | 9 |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Maple Leafs 4, Devils 3 | Devils | 7 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Maple Leafs 2, Devils 1 | Devils | 3 |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Devils 3, Maple Leafs 2 (OT) | Maple Leafs | 5 |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Maple Leafs 3, Devils 2 | Maple Leafs | 5 |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Maple Leafs 7, Devils 1 | Devils | 8 |
| Jan 31, 2022 | Maple Leafs 6, Devils 4 | Maple Leafs | 10 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When New Jersey Devils and Toronto Maple Leafs are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.