a Eastern Conference matchup

Montréal Canadiens vs New York Rangers Head to Head

Montréal Canadiens logo
MTL
vs
New York Rangers logo
NYR
common line 6.5 34567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2021. 5 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 10 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2021
6.80
goals per game
7 of 15
won by the home team
10 of 15
over 6.5

Rangers lead the recent series 10 wins to 5. The home team won 7 of the 15 (47%).

Totals have split rather than clustered. 5 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 10 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Feb 15, 2024, Rangers 7, Canadiens 4, 11 goals between them. 4 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 2, 2026, Canadiens 3, Rangers 2.

Every Montréal Canadiens and New York Rangers meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Apr 2, 2026Canadiens 3, Rangers 2Rangers5
Dec 13, 2025Rangers 5, Canadiens 4 (OT)Rangers9
Oct 18, 2025Rangers 4, Canadiens 3Canadiens7
Jan 19, 2025Canadiens 5, Rangers 4 (OT)Canadiens9
Nov 30, 2024Rangers 4, Canadiens 3Rangers7
Oct 22, 2024Rangers 7, Canadiens 2Canadiens9
Apr 7, 2024Rangers 5, Canadiens 2Rangers7
Feb 15, 2024Rangers 7, Canadiens 4Rangers11
Jan 6, 2024Canadiens 4, Rangers 3 (OT)Canadiens7
Mar 9, 2023Rangers 4, Canadiens 3 (OT)Canadiens7
Jan 15, 2023Canadiens 2, Rangers 1Rangers3
Jan 5, 2023Rangers 4, Canadiens 1Canadiens5
Apr 27, 2022Canadiens 4, Rangers 3Rangers7
Nov 16, 2021Rangers 3, Canadiens 2Rangers5
Oct 16, 2021Rangers 3, Canadiens 1Canadiens4

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Montréal Canadiens and New York Rangers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Montréal Canadiens vs New York Rangers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Montréal Canadiens vs New York Rangers

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.