a Eastern Conference matchup

Montréal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers Head to Head

Montréal Canadiens logo
MTL
vs
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHI
common line 6.5 56789101112 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2021. 6 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 8 at 7 or more, and 1 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2021
7.07
goals per game
9 of 15
won by the home team
8 of 15
over 6.5

Canadiens lead the recent series 8 wins to 7. The home team won 9 of the 15 (60%).

6 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 8 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Apr 9, 2024, Canadiens 9, Flyers 3, 12 goals between them. 5 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 14, 2026, Flyers 4, Canadiens 2.

Every Montréal Canadiens and Philadelphia Flyers meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Apr 14, 2026Flyers 4, Canadiens 2Flyers6
Dec 16, 2025Flyers 4, Canadiens 1Canadiens5
Nov 4, 2025Flyers 5, Canadiens 4 (OT)Canadiens9
Apr 5, 2025Canadiens 3, Flyers 2Canadiens5
Mar 27, 2025Flyers 6, Canadiens 4Flyers10
Oct 27, 2024Canadiens 4, Flyers 3Flyers7
Apr 9, 2024Canadiens 9, Flyers 3Canadiens12
Mar 28, 2024Canadiens 4, Flyers 1Canadiens5
Jan 10, 2024Flyers 3, Canadiens 2 (OT)Flyers5
Mar 28, 2023Flyers 3, Canadiens 2Flyers5
Feb 24, 2023Canadiens 5, Flyers 2Flyers7
Nov 19, 2022Canadiens 5, Flyers 4 (OT)Canadiens9
Apr 21, 2022Flyers 6, Canadiens 3Canadiens9
Mar 13, 2022Canadiens 4, Flyers 3 (OT)Flyers7
Dec 16, 2021Canadiens 3, Flyers 2 (OT)Canadiens5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Montréal Canadiens and Philadelphia Flyers are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Montréal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Montréal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.