a matchup between the conferences

Montréal Canadiens vs St. Louis Blues Head to Head

Montréal Canadiens logo
MTL
vs
St. Louis Blues logo
STL
common line 6.5 234567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
10 meetings since 2021. 3 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 7 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 10 meetings

10
meetings since 2021
7.10
goals per game
7 of 10
won by the home team
7 of 10
over 6.5

Blues lead the recent series 6 wins to 4. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 7 of the 10 (70%).

Totals have split rather than clustered. 3 of the 10 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 7 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Oct 29, 2022, Canadiens 7, Blues 4, 11 goals between them. 1 of the 10 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Jan 3, 2026, Blues 2, Canadiens 0.

Every Montréal Canadiens and St. Louis Blues meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Jan 3, 2026Blues 2, Canadiens 0Blues2
Dec 7, 2025Blues 4, Canadiens 3Canadiens7
Mar 25, 2025Blues 6, Canadiens 1Blues7
Oct 26, 2024Canadiens 5, Blues 2Canadiens7
Feb 11, 2024Blues 7, Canadiens 2Canadiens9
Nov 4, 2023Blues 6, Canadiens 3Blues9
Jan 7, 2023Canadiens 5, Blues 4Canadiens9
Oct 29, 2022Canadiens 7, Blues 4Blues11
Feb 17, 2022Canadiens 3, Blues 2 (OT)Canadiens5
Dec 11, 2021Blues 4, Canadiens 1Blues5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Montréal Canadiens and St. Louis Blues are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

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How the model reads Montréal Canadiens vs St. Louis Blues

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Montréal Canadiens vs St. Louis Blues

These clubs meet rarely, so unfamiliarity, travel and scheduling quirks carry more weight than usual. Those are exactly the situations the model is built to read. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.