a Atlantic Division matchup

Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators Head to Head

Boston Bruins logo
BOS
vs
Ottawa Senators logo
OTT
common line 6.5 23456789101112 total goals, one dot per meeting
19 meetings since 2021. 12 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 7 at 7 or more, and none landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 19 meetings

19
meetings since 2021
6.05
goals per game
12 of 19
won by the home team
7 of 19
over 6.5

Senators lead the recent series 10 wins to 9. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 12 of the 19 (63%). The only road win by either club was Bruins 2, Senators 0 on Feb 12, 2022.

Totals have split rather than clustered. 12 of the 19 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 7 finished at 7 or more. The number never landed on 6. The busiest was Oct 18, 2022, Senators 7, Bruins 5, 12 goals between them. 6 of the 19 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Dec 21, 2025, Senators 6, Bruins 2.

Every Boston Bruins and Ottawa Senators meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Dec 21, 2025Senators 6, Bruins 2Bruins8
Nov 13, 2025Senators 5, Bruins 3Senators8
Nov 6, 2025Bruins 3, Senators 2 (OT)Bruins5
Oct 27, 2025Senators 7, Bruins 2Senators9
Mar 13, 2025Senators 6, Bruins 3Senators9
Jan 23, 2025Bruins 2, Senators 0Bruins2
Jan 18, 2025Senators 6, Bruins 5 (OT)Senators11
Nov 9, 2024Senators 3, Bruins 2 (OT)Bruins5
Apr 16, 2024Senators 3, Bruins 1Bruins4
Mar 19, 2024Bruins 6, Senators 2Bruins8
Jan 25, 2024Bruins 3, Senators 2 (OT)Senators5
Mar 21, 2023Bruins 2, Senators 1Bruins3
Feb 20, 2023Bruins 3, Senators 1Bruins4
Dec 27, 2022Senators 3, Bruins 2 (OT)Senators5
Oct 18, 2022Senators 7, Bruins 5Senators12
Apr 14, 2022Senators 3, Bruins 2Bruins5
Feb 19, 2022Bruins 3, Senators 2 (OT)Senators5
Feb 12, 2022Bruins 2, Senators 0Senators2
Nov 9, 2021Bruins 3, Senators 2Bruins5

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Boston Bruins and Ottawa Senators are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

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How the model reads Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators

Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.