a Eastern Conference matchup
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head to Head
Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.
The last 15 meetings
Blue Jackets lead the recent series 8 wins to 7. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 7 of the 15 (47%). The only road win by either club was Maple Leafs 5, Blue Jackets 4 on Mar 7, 2022.
5 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 8 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Dec 14, 2023, Blue Jackets 6, Maple Leafs 5, 11 goals between them. 5 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Nov 26, 2025, Maple Leafs 2, Blue Jackets 1.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Maple Leafs 2, Blue Jackets 1 (OT) | Blue Jackets | 3 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Blue Jackets 3, Maple Leafs 2 (OT) | Maple Leafs | 5 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Blue Jackets 6, Maple Leafs 3 | Blue Jackets | 9 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Maple Leafs 5, Blue Jackets 0 | Maple Leafs | 5 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Blue Jackets 5, Maple Leafs 1 | Maple Leafs | 6 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Blue Jackets 6, Maple Leafs 2 | Blue Jackets | 8 |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Blue Jackets 6, Maple Leafs 5 (OT) | Blue Jackets | 11 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Maple Leafs 4, Blue Jackets 1 | Blue Jackets | 5 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Blue Jackets 6, Maple Leafs 5 (OT) | Maple Leafs | 11 |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Maple Leafs 4, Blue Jackets 2 | Maple Leafs | 6 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Blue Jackets 4, Maple Leafs 3 | Maple Leafs | 7 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Maple Leafs 3, Blue Jackets 0 | Blue Jackets | 3 |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Maple Leafs 5, Blue Jackets 4 | Blue Jackets | 9 |
| Feb 22, 2022 | Blue Jackets 4, Maple Leafs 3 (OT) | Blue Jackets | 7 |
| Dec 7, 2021 | Maple Leafs 5, Blue Jackets 4 | Maple Leafs | 9 |
Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.
See the projection for this game
When Columbus Blue Jackets and Toronto Maple Leafs are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.
Open ArakIceHow the model reads Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs
The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
What tends to move Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.