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a Eastern Conference matchup

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Head to Head

Columbus Blue Jackets logo
CBJ
vs
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
TBL
common line 6.5 5678910111213 total goals, one dot per meeting
15 meetings since 2022. 3 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 10 at 7 or more, and 2 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 15 meetings

15
meetings since 2022
7.67
goals per game
11 of 15
won by the home team
10 of 15
over 6.5

Lightning lead the recent series 9 wins to 6. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 11 of the 15 (73%).

3 of the 15 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 10 finished at 7 or more. 2 landed on 6. The busiest was Nov 21, 2024, Blue Jackets 7, Lightning 6, 13 goals between them. 1 of the 15 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Mar 10, 2026, Blue Jackets 5, Lightning 2.

Every Columbus Blue Jackets and Tampa Bay Lightning meeting since 2022
DateResultHostGoals
Mar 10, 2026Blue Jackets 5, Lightning 2Lightning7
Jan 24, 2026Blue Jackets 8, Lightning 5Blue Jackets13
Oct 18, 2025Blue Jackets 3, Lightning 2Blue Jackets5
Mar 4, 2025Lightning 6, Blue Jackets 2Lightning8
Dec 17, 2024Lightning 5, Blue Jackets 3Lightning8
Nov 21, 2024Blue Jackets 7, Lightning 6 (OT)Blue Jackets13
Apr 9, 2024Lightning 5, Blue Jackets 2Lightning7
Feb 10, 2024Lightning 4, Blue Jackets 2Blue Jackets6
Nov 2, 2023Blue Jackets 4, Lightning 2Blue Jackets6
Jan 10, 2023Lightning 6, Blue Jackets 3Lightning9
Dec 15, 2022Lightning 4, Blue Jackets 1Lightning5
Oct 14, 2022Lightning 5, Blue Jackets 2Blue Jackets7
Apr 28, 2022Blue Jackets 5, Lightning 2Blue Jackets7
Apr 26, 2022Lightning 4, Blue Jackets 1Lightning5
Jan 4, 2022Lightning 7, Blue Jackets 2Blue Jackets9

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2022. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Columbus Blue Jackets and Tampa Bay Lightning are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

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How the model reads Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Conference games carry playoff seeding weight. The intensity tightens the checking and pulls event rates down compared with a casual date against the other conference. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.

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