a Central Division matchup

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Head to Head

Colorado Avalanche logo
COL
vs
Dallas Stars logo
DAL
common line 6.5 234567891011 total goals, one dot per meeting
18 meetings since 2021. 7 finished at 5 goals or fewer, 10 at 7 or more, and 1 landed on 6.

Here is what the record between these two clubs looks like, and how ArakIce reads their next meeting.

The last 18 meetings

18
meetings since 2021
6.78
goals per game
8 of 18
won by the home team
10 of 18
over 6.5

Avalanche lead the recent series 11 wins to 7. Where the game is played has mattered more than who is better. The home team won 8 of the 18 (44%). The only road win by either club was Avalanche 4, Stars 0 on Feb 13, 2022.

7 of the 18 finished at 5 goals or fewer. 10 finished at 7 or more. 1 landed on 6. The busiest was Apr 7, 2024, Stars 7, Avalanche 4, 11 goals between them. 6 of the 18 needed overtime. Most recent meeting: Apr 4, 2026, Avalanche 2, Stars 0.

Every Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meeting since 2021
DateResultHostGoals
Apr 4, 2026Avalanche 2, Stars 0Stars2
Mar 18, 2026Stars 2, Avalanche 1 (OT)Avalanche3
Mar 6, 2026Avalanche 5, Stars 4 (OT)Stars9
Oct 11, 2025Stars 5, Avalanche 4 (OT)Avalanche9
Mar 16, 2025Avalanche 4, Stars 3 (OT)Avalanche7
Jan 18, 2025Avalanche 6, Stars 3Avalanche9
Nov 29, 2024Stars 5, Avalanche 3Stars8
Apr 7, 2024Stars 7, Avalanche 4Avalanche11
Feb 27, 2024Avalanche 5, Stars 1Avalanche6
Jan 4, 2024Avalanche 5, Stars 4 (OT)Stars9
Nov 18, 2023Avalanche 6, Stars 3Stars9
Apr 1, 2023Avalanche 5, Stars 2Avalanche7
Mar 4, 2023Stars 7, Avalanche 3Stars10
Nov 26, 2022Avalanche 4, Stars 1Avalanche5
Nov 21, 2022Avalanche 3, Stars 2 (OT)Stars5
Feb 15, 2022Stars 4, Avalanche 1Avalanche5
Feb 13, 2022Avalanche 4, Stars 0Stars4
Nov 26, 2021Stars 3, Avalanche 1Stars4

Compiled from ArakIce's own game database, covering every meeting between these clubs since 2021. Percentages appear only for matchups with at least 8 meetings.

See the projection for this game

When Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars are on the slate, ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for the game.

Open ArakIce

How the model reads Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

The projection starts with expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up. That holds up better than goals scored, which swing on shooting luck. From there it adjusts for what is true only of this game: who is confirmed in net, whether either club is playing a second night in a row or sitting deep in a road trip, the travel and the time zones, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

What tends to move Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Division rivals meet several times a year and know each other well. Those games tend to be tighter and more defensive, which is part of why the totals above sit where they do. Beyond that, the biggest movers are goaltending confirmations, home ice, and whether either side is playing a second night in a row or finishing a long trip.