Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Centre Bell
Colorado Avalanche vs Montréal Canadiens — Saturday, November 14, 2026
Who will win Avalanche vs Canadiens?
arakiceML gives the Colorado Avalanche a 56% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 44% for the Montréal Canadiens. Chance the Colorado Avalanche win by two goals or more (−1.5 puck line): 36%.
Recorded at 1:50 p.m. ET, before puck drop, and published in ArakIce's public prediction record. See the timestamped file. Starting goalies were not confirmed yet at that time, so the model assumed each team's usual starter.
This is a probability, not a lock: a 60% favourite is expected to lose four games out of ten.
What is true about this game today
Colorado Avalanche come in on 2 days of rest. Colorado Avalanche are 3 games into a road trip. Montréal Canadiens come in on 2 days of rest. Colorado Avalanche are 4-5-1 on the road, Montréal Canadiens 5-2-3 at home.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Colorado Avalanche lead 6 to 4, at 6.60 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Canadiens 7, Avalanche 3 | MTL | 10 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Avalanche 7, Canadiens 2 | COL | 9 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Avalanche 5, Canadiens 4 (OT) | MTL | 9 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Canadiens 2, Avalanche 1 (OT) | COL | 3 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Canadiens 2, Avalanche 1 | COL | 3 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Canadiens 4, Avalanche 3 | MTL | 7 |
| Mar 13, 2023 | Avalanche 8, Canadiens 4 | MTL | 12 |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Avalanche 2, Canadiens 1 (OT) | COL | 3 |
Edges and player props for this game
The win probability is free on this page. In the app, ArakIce compares it to the sportsbook line, flags where the value is, and projects props for every player in this game.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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