Final · 7:00 p.m. ET · KeyBank Center
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres — Wednesday, November 11, 2026
How it finished
Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 8-3.
Goal summary
| P1 18:49 | Scott Sabourin | TBL | 1-0 |
| P1 19:38 | John Carlson | TBL | 2-0 |
| P2 04:33 | Brandon Hagel | TBL | 3-0 |
| P2 13:02 | Yanni Gourde | TBL | 4-0 |
| P2 15:54 | Josh Doan | BUF | 4-1 |
| P2 19:32 | Jason Zucker | BUF | 4-2 |
| P3 00:33 | Tage Thompson | BUF | 4-3 |
| P3 01:25 | Nikita Kucherov | TBL | 5-3 |
| P3 04:11 | Nikita Kucherov | TBL | 6-3 |
| P3 14:13 | Nikita Kucherov | TBL | 7-3 |
| P3 15:06 | Brandon Hagel | TBL | 8-3 |
Three stars : 1. N. Kucherov (TBL) · 2. J. Carlson (TBL) · 3. J. Guentzel (TBL)
The recent history between these two
Their last 18 meetings, going back to 2021. Buffalo Sabres lead 10 to 8, at 7.72 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sabres 4, Lightning 2 | BUF | 6 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sabres 8, Lightning 7 | BUF | 15 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sabres 6, Lightning 2 | TBL | 8 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Lightning 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | TBL | 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Lightning 7, Sabres 4 | TBL | 11 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sabres 3, Lightning 2 (OT) | BUF | 5 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Lightning 6, Sabres 5 | TBL | 11 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Sabres 4, Lightning 2 | TBL | 6 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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