Preview · 9:00 p.m. ET · Delta Center

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth — Saturday, October 24, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
vs
Utah Mammoth
UTA
7-3-0
TBL record
7-4-0
UTA record
7-3-0
TBL last 10
6-4-0
UTA last 10
3.4
TBL goals for / game
3.73
UTA goals for / game

What is true about this game today

Tampa Bay Lightning are playing their second game in two nights. Tampa Bay Lightning are 3 games into a road trip. Utah Mammoth come in on 2 days of rest. Tampa Bay Lightning are 2-3-0 on the road, Utah Mammoth 3-1-0 at home.

The recent history between these two

Their last 4 meetings, going back to 2025. Tampa Bay Lightning lead 3 to 1, at 6.50 goals a game.

DateResultHostGoals
Jan 26, 2026Lightning 2, Mammoth 0TBL2
Nov 2, 2025Lightning 4, Mammoth 2UTA6
Mar 27, 2025Lightning 8, Mammoth 0TBL8
Mar 22, 2025Mammoth 6, Lightning 4UTA10

See the projection for this game

ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Tampa Bay Lightning against Utah Mammoth, and flags where the number sits against the book.

Open ArakIce

What the model weighs here

The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.

Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.

ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.