Final · 9:00 p.m. ET · Ball Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche — Friday, October 23, 2026
How it finished
Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3.
Goal summary
| P1 01:08 | Devon Toews | COL | 0-1 |
| P1 05:52 | Nazem Kadri | COL | 0-2 |
| P2 00:24 | Fedor Svechkov | COL | 0-3 |
| P2 08:13 | Jake Guentzel | TBL | 1-3 |
| P2 13:57 | Artturi Lehkonen | COL | 1-4 |
| P2 19:17 | Jake Guentzel | TBL | 2-4 |
| P3 04:18 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 2-5 |
| P3 15:13 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | TBL | 3-5 |
| P3 17:19 | Martin Necas | COL | 3-6 |
Three stars : 1. N. MacKinnon (COL) · 2. M. Necas (COL) · 3. A. Lehkonen (COL)
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Tampa Bay Lightning lead 6 to 4, at 6.60 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Lightning 4, Avalanche 2 | TBL | 6 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Avalanche 3, Lightning 2 | COL | 5 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Lightning 8, Avalanche 2 | TBL | 10 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Lightning 5, Avalanche 2 | COL | 7 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Lightning 6, Avalanche 3 | TBL | 9 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Avalanche 4, Lightning 1 | COL | 5 |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Lightning 4, Avalanche 3 (OT) | COL | 7 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Lightning 5, Avalanche 0 | TBL | 5 |
Tonight's slate
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for every game on tonight's schedule, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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