Preview · 7:00 p.m. ET · Ball Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche — Saturday, October 10, 2026
What is true about this game today
Toronto Maple Leafs come in on 2 days of rest. Colorado Avalanche come in on 2 days of rest.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2021. Toronto Maple Leafs lead 5 to 5, at 7.20 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Avalanche 4, Maple Leafs 1 | TOR | 5 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Maple Leafs 4, Avalanche 3 (OT) | COL | 7 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Maple Leafs 2, Avalanche 1 | TOR | 3 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Avalanche 7, Maple Leafs 4 | COL | 11 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Maple Leafs 4, Avalanche 3 | COL | 7 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Avalanche 5, Maple Leafs 3 | TOR | 8 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Avalanche 2, Maple Leafs 1 (OT) | TOR | 3 |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Maple Leafs 6, Avalanche 2 | COL | 8 |
See the projection for this game
ArakIce projects a win probability and a total for Toronto Maple Leafs against Colorado Avalanche, and flags where the number sits against the book.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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